October 22, 2016
Judging by how the line has moved, there is anticipation that the Denver Broncos will be out to display Brock Osweiler why their administration allow him stroll.
Odds courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Broncos are shown as a nine-point favourite versus the Texans – quarterbacked by Osweiler, who was Denver’s starter for component of their Super Bowl year – for their Monday Night time Football matchup. There is a 41-point complete.
Denver opened as a six.5-point favourite. The Broncos are 4-two each straight-up and versus the distribute, despite a two-activity skid. The Broncos are seven- SU and 5-two ATS in their very last seven house games soon after shedding their most new house activity, which supports the reasoning they are as well strong to reduce a few in a row.
Quarterback Trevor Siemian was out in the course of Denver’s initial decline and performed by means of shoulder agony in the second, but again-to-again primetime games will give him a 10-working day restoration period. The trade-off of possessing additional rest is that Siemian will deal with a premier move protection, as Texans OLB Whitney Mercilus and OLB Jadeveon Clowney are strong edge rushers.
Houston also will allow only 189.three passing yards per activity, as CB A.J. Bouye has emerged as a complement to CB Kareem Jackson. That stated, Houston has shuffled their secondary soon after putting CB Kevin Johnson on wounded reserve.
Some thing will have to give in the matchup amongst Denver’s sputtering rushing attack and Houston’s operate protection, which will allow 4.two yards per carry. Backup RB Devontae Booker has experienced more zip than veteran C.J. Anderson, which may well prompt a alter in their usage.
Houston, 4-two SU and three-two-1 ATS on the year, is just two-8 SU in its very last 10 games as an underdog of seven.5 or more factors. Each of their losses occurred when Osweiler struggled to crank out offense versus the top defenses of the New England Patriots and the Minnesota Vikings.
That situation may well participate in out once more if Osweiler fails to suppress his tendency of forcing deep balls into restricted coverage. Undertaking so would, virtually, participate in into the arms of a secondary where by CB Aqib Talib and CB Chris Harris are matched up versus the likes of WR DeAndre Hopkins and WR Jaelen Solid.
Osweiler has a fairly great sack rate, so Houston may well have some prospect of slowing down OLB Von Miller and OLB DeMarcus Ware. The Texans will very likely check out to continue to keep RB Lamar Miller as busy as attainable, each as a ball provider and receiver.
The favored workforce is 4-1 SU and ATS in its very last 5 games in this matchup. The complete has gone beneath in 4 of the Texans’ very last 5 games as underdogs. The complete has gone beneath in 8 of the Broncos’ very last 10 games as favorites.